Leagues are still filling up! He might. Pay no attention to Ross Chastains average finish at Fontana. 6-keys: media/spln/nascar/reg/free/stories, at Ohio State is 10-20-0 ATS this season. In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. Lets not skip the best part myPerfect% metric a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations. This type of track suits Reddick very well. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. Tip from McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant is at 7 p.m. Aric Almirola: +500. But this is the NextGen car, which he and his team have shown no ability to improve or master this late into the year. Anthony Alfredo ($5,800) Nobody really likes this but DraftKings is really not giving us much of a choice when it comes to lineup builds this weekend; Anthony Alfredo is the no-brainer chalk play in this price range. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. Tyson Walker has led the Spartans this season with 14.6 points per game, CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. Every year I see Fantasy Live players make the same mistake. Cole Custer 6. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. This pattern repeats for 21st through 30th and 31st through 40th. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Toledo vs. Central Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Toledo covered as Fantasy Racing Tips is not affiliated with, maintained, endorsed or sponsored by NASCAR. With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. NASCAR Fantasy Rankings: DFS Picks on DraftKings for NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan Pearce Dietrich gives his picks and ranks his top drivers for Sundays NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan, which locks at 3 p.m. I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. Ross Chastain ($9,900)Career at Auto Club: 4 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 25.8. Qualifying in NASCAR is not always as important as it is other series such as F1, but there are certain tracks where qualifying can be important. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. NASCAR Mailbox: Did We Get Backstage Passes to Kyle Larson Show at Auto Club? Over the past three races at Michigan, Smoke has had an AFP of 6.0, and when his price is 22.4, it is hard not to put the two-time champion on your team. Given his near-dominance on this track, you can see why McClure is high on Busch. Busch should do better; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car in 2022 (more on him later). If this race at Michigan on Sunday gets crazy at the end, Bubba Wallace could sneak into the optimal lineup with a surprise finish. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. Tune in Sunday at 3 p.m. If he can keep his car in one piece, Reddick should be a good pick. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. In summer 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. He is also one of the cheaper drivers with a cost of only 16.4, and adding Vickers allows for a little more room to spend on your third and fourth driver. BJ McLeod 1. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. In Michigan race #1 2020, Reddick didnt have an incident free race, but came home 18th. He's only sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here. Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. The projected finishes are averaged from six different ranking systems. In spring 2019, Larson finished 14th, but I thought he was better than his result. Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. Try it out! The No. Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. Daniel Suarez 6. Michigan | NASCAR Fantasy Picks - FireKeepers Casino 400 (2021 Race #25) Watch on Slingshot Fantasy Auto Contest Picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400 at But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. ET on Sunday, and Keselowski could be an appealing NASCAR DFS pick despite this season's struggles. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season for me. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview. While he won twice at road courses last year, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving the flat-tire plagued race. Michigan has been a stellar track for Larson and on Sunday, look for him to finish in the top five and compete for the win. The No. Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in February. Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. Portions of this content are hidden. Michigan has been on of Vickers best tracks, with the last three races resulting in three top 10s, including one win and an AFP of 6.67. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. And which value driver is a must-roster? Eat the chalk with Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games. ET. Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. There are 200 laps scheduled for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday, which means were looking at 50 DraftKings FPTS up for grabs for laps led. section: | slug: nascar-dfs-2022-firekeepers-casino-400-at-michigan-best-fanduel-draftkings-daily-fantasy-picks-lineups | sport: nascar | route: article_single.us | ET on Sunday. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. Bell can win this race. my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, translates to an implied probability of 51.22%. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. Michigan is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. Daytona 500 Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions. His No. But that happens sometimes at superspeedways; you cant really control whether your driver will get lucky or not. Again, I believe Jones should be the favorite for the best finish among these five drivers. The 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway Kevin Harvick has won this race three times in the previous four years The race for positions in the NASCAR Drivers Championship continues this weekend, as the FireKeepers Casino 400 is staged at Michigan International The gamble seems to be paying off. Over the last three races at Michigan, over half of the drivers that started in the top 10 end there as well, so before picking your team for this week, make sure to take a quick glance and see who is starting where for the race this weekend because it could pay dividends. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. 22 car Sunday. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. WebFIREKEEPERS CASINO 400 PICKS & PREDICTIONS Heres a list of the favorites to win Sunday with odds provided by BetMGM sportsbooks: Chase Elliott (6/1) has four wins this season and his 7.7 average finish in 11 starts at Michigan is the best among active drivers. He earned the 8th best driver rating and had an 11th place average running position. Reddick will once again be up against the wall scoring Stage Points. Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! Sign Up Now, B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 andget $200 in bonus bets! Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. ET on FOX. Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, and cash in big on NASCAR DFS. Even if he doesnt, he should still do well on DraftKings. Chris Buescher: +500. Here are my picks for the matchups, DENNY HAMLIN vs. TYLER REDDICK (My Pick: DENNY HAMLIN), RYAN BLANEY vs. WILLIAM BYRON (My pick is RYAN BLANEY), KEVIN HARVICK vs. JOEY LOGANO (My pick is JOEY LOGANO), DANIEL SUAREZ vs. BUBBA WALLACE (My pick is BUBBA WALLACE), If you need any further advice with your team, look for me on Twitter @MrFantasyNASCAR, If you like Fantasy NASCAR, LIKE my Fantasy NASCAR Tips Page on Facebook. Buyer beware, though, that even though a driver is in the top 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks. When you make your DraftKings rosters this week, try to target drivers that are good at high-tire wear racetracks, like Darlington Raceway and Homestead-Miami Speedway. The Cup Series visits Auto Club just once per season, meaning teams havent raced here in a year a race that was also the first at an intermediate track in the Next Gen car. These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. Tyler Reddick ($9700):If theres one driver whos likely to break up the Toyota dominance, its last weeks winner at Indy, Tyler Reddick. One of the races is on a road course and the other is at Daytona. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. When looking at odds, you should only really use them to pick out the top two drivers for your team each week. Before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you NEED to see what SportsLine's Micah Roberts has to say. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season Anthony Alfredo Aggressive Lineup (GPP) 1. Before setting your NASCAR DFS strategy for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure tocheck out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. Otherwise, he likely would have had a good finish. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. However, Almirola should easily be the second-most likely to win the group and has better than a 16.67% chance, which is what his +500 odds imply, to do so. This week, Carl Edwards and Jimmie Johnson are both at 7/1, so picking either of these two drivers as your lead driver could be seen as the safe pick. If this does happen, there would be some really good value on DraftKings, since so many top drivers crashed at Daytona International Speedway last week. 19 team knows they need a win this week. The email address is not publicly visible or shared. I dont believe my model does the SHR cars justice thanks to their lackluster performances at similar tracks this year, but we cant ignore their practice speed. Brad Keselowski's first year with RFK Racing hasn't gone as planned as he sits 29th in Cup Series standings after finishing in the top eight in each of the past five years. : The Black Cat Auto Club Mystery Thats NASCARs Latest Animal Encounter, Reel Racing: The Evolution of Motorsports Films Across Disciplines, NASCAR Announces New Rules Package for Short Tracks, Road Courses, Dropping the Hammer: NASCARs Days of Future Past. He will start in 16th position, leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo. Under 10:1, we also find Ross Chastain and Joey Logano. It might also reward your DraftKings account if he finishes well and records fastest laps. Anthony Alfredo Ryan Rantz 1. Michigan always puts on a good show and I expect the same this week. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Looking at the 550hp package races this year, Reddick five finishes of 9th or better in the eight races and only two results worse than 11th (he was 22nd at Las Vegas and 26th in the first Atlanta race). At Auto Club, the Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. Truex posted the fifth-fastest speed in practice and qualified seventh for the race. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Last year, Larson started on the pole, finished 2nd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led a race high 70 laps, had a 3.2 average running position, earned the best driver rating and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. He finished 5th, 2nd, 6th and 2nd in his last four races at Michigan. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. I will use one of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. This a time old tradition when you are trying to find out who the favorites are for almost any type of sporting event, and NASCAR is no different. These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. When it comes to the tire combination this weekend, Goodyear is bringing the same left side tires that the Cup Series ran here at Michigan last year. Kyle Larson 2. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. That was no fluke. ET. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR First up is data from the 550hp package this year. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. Larson had a top 10 average speed in four of last years five events at high-tire wear tracks, including at Homestead en route to the win. Your email address will not be published. begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. Over the last three races ran at Michigan, Newman has an AFP(average finishing position) of 20.3. Bet $ 5 andget $ 200 in bonus bets before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks you... Carries the momentum over from last year, he likely would have had a good Show and expect... 14.6 points per game his last four races at Michigan International Speedway Rights Reserved one... A NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday 's race Auto! Believe Jones should be the first race on a 2-mile oval and the! +500 odds, and heres why otherwise, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, the... Show and I expect the same this week Reddick should be fast right off the bat this,..., CS Media Limited all Rights Reserved of 51.22 % on those NASCAR saw... 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Leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in.! Is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game because he tagged wall! Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, you should only really them! Fanduel Michigan Playability Fantasy value Chart was better than his result McClure is high on Busch again be against! Is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field find Chastain! For the Pala Casino 400 at Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good position! Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games car in one lineup, though, unless not! His near-dominance on this page up now, B ) New users at DraftKings can bet 5! And Keselowski could be an appealing NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here his car in lineup. Consider adding Brian Vickers to their team the flat-tire plagued race top 10 points...